2019 NFL Draft Prospects - As of April 12th

The National champ has been crowned, the all-star games have been played, the combine is over, and the pro days are done. It’s “lying season”, where agents and general managers spin tall tales and play the game of NFL thrones. The draft is nearly upon us. Check out what’s to come!

These charts are filterable. Click a state to see the only those prospects. Feel free to maximize the charts using the button on the lower right.

Some observations from this chart:

• The South is pretty impressive. There is a lot of depth in the value that’s out there.
• Depth in the Midwest, West, and Northeast is not great after the first two or three schools.

Here’s another chart showing both the states and the prospects from each state.

At first, this chart seems a little crazy, but it’s useful to see all of the ranks to understand the variance in the player’s rank over the last 6 months. The rank with the green point value next to it is the player’s current value, and the value that is being used to calculate the overall state’s value.

Next, a line chart showing each individual prospect’s journey since October of this year.

Some thoughts on the line graph:

• This chart shows ranks on a logorithmic scale, since a change in rank from 35 to 5 is much bigger than a change from 335 to 305.
• Some prospects start high in October, and then vanish from the chart. These tend to be underclassmen (such as Justin Herbert) who were expected to declare for the draft, but chose to return to school.
• Jachai Polite has not had the best offseason. His value has been slipping steadily.
• Wisconsin prospects do not appear to have done themselves any favors, as most have either kept or lost value since October.
• Once he decided to play football, Kyler Murray burst onto the draft rankings in January and has steadily risen since then.
• It appears to be lonely at the top, as Nick Bosa has not yet given up his number 1 rank, despite the rumors that Kyler Murray may actually be the first player chosen.

The rough methodology used for the Leagify charts is this: Each prospect is given a point value based on their current rank, which is given regardless of position (“Big Board” style).

Rank values:

• 01 - 10 : 35 points
• 11 - 25 : 30 points
• 26 - 35 : 25 points
• 36 - 59 : 20 points
• 60 - 70 : 15 points
• 71 - 100 : 10 points
• 101 - 120 : 8 points
• 121 - 150 : 7 points
• 151 - 180 : 6 points
• 181 - 250 : 5 points
• 251 - 300 : 2 points
• 301 - 400 : 1 point

These big board rankings came from DraftTek’s Big Board, which was last updated April 12, 2019. Only the value of the player’s primary position was considered.

The data is scraped, cleaned, and mushed together with a variety of code, which is available here for viewing, if you’re into that sort of thing.